Ranked by a composite score - season HR rate, the opposing pitcher's HR/9 allowed, this stadium's approximate park factor, today's live wind reading, and batter/pitcher handedness - each relative to league average. This is a statistical heuristic, not a prediction: home runs are high-variance events and a high score means "well-supported by the numbers," not "likely." Batters need at least 50 plate appearances this season to qualify.

#ScorePlayerBatsTeamOpp. Pitcher 2026 HRPAPitcher HR/9ParkVenueWindPlatoon
14.92Byron BuxtonRMINJeffrey Springs (L)253992.301.10Sutter Health ParkFavors HittersPlatoon edge
23.86Abimelec OrtizLWSHRyan Feltner (R)5651.861.00Nationals ParkNeutralPlatoon edge
33.49Pete Crow-ArmstrongLCHCMerrill Kelly (R)335841.811.10Chase FieldFavors HittersPlatoon edge
43.16Kody ClemensLMINJeffrey Springs (L)214592.301.10Sutter Health ParkFavors HittersSame-handed
53.14Kaelen CulpepperRMINJeffrey Springs (L)2502.301.10Sutter Health ParkFavors HittersPlatoon edge
63.06Brooks LeeSMINJeffrey Springs (L)204992.301.10Sutter Health ParkFavors HittersSwitch hitter
72.93Ryan JeffersRMINJeffrey Springs (L)102682.301.10Sutter Health ParkFavors HittersPlatoon edge
82.93Michael ConfortoLCHCMerrill Kelly (R)112321.811.10Chase FieldFavors HittersPlatoon edge
92.87Munetaka MurakamiLCWSKumar Rocker (R)294151.261.05Rate FieldFavors HittersPlatoon edge
102.82Tyrone TaylorRCHCMerrill Kelly (R)101931.811.10Chase FieldFavors HittersSame-handed
112.73CJ AbramsLWSHRyan Feltner (R)295341.861.00Nationals ParkNeutralPlatoon edge
122.61Royce LewisRMINJeffrey Springs (L)133912.301.10Sutter Health ParkFavors HittersPlatoon edge
132.54Josh BellSMINJeffrey Springs (L)175122.301.10Sutter Health ParkFavors HittersSwitch hitter
142.47Rafael Flores Jr.RPITRobbie Ray (L)6681.180.88Petco ParkNeutralPlatoon edge
152.47Ian HappSCHCMerrill Kelly (R)225361.811.10Chase FieldFavors HittersSwitch hitter
162.46Zack GelofRATHZebby Matthews (R)143031.771.10Sutter Health ParkFavors HittersSame-handed
172.40Seiya SuzukiRCHCMerrill Kelly (R)224981.811.10Chase FieldFavors HittersSame-handed
182.39Andrés ChaparroRWSHRyan Feltner (R)81481.861.00Nationals ParkNeutralSame-handed
192.14Jonah HeimSATHZebby Matthews (R)113021.771.10Sutter Health ParkFavors HittersSwitch hitter
202.14Colson MontgomeryLCWSKumar Rocker (R)275191.261.05Rate FieldFavors HittersPlatoon edge
211.94Randal GrichukRCWSKumar Rocker (R)112051.261.05Rate FieldFavors HittersSame-handed
221.93Gabriel AriasRCHCMerrill Kelly (R)51411.811.10Chase FieldFavors HittersSame-handed
231.86Miguel VargasRCWSKumar Rocker (R)295641.261.05Rate FieldFavors HittersSame-handed
241.85Eduardo ValenciaRDETDrew Rasmussen (R)6680.870.88Comerica ParkFavors HittersSame-handed
251.80Ryan KreidlerRMINJeffrey Springs (L)52182.301.10Sutter Health ParkFavors HittersPlatoon edge